April 12, 2011
Dear Readers:
A lot to cover today in the article below, so
right to business....
M&A in the Middle Market: The Road
to Recovery--But Not For All
by Jerry Dentinger and Ken Csaplar
It is no secret, 2011 will likely be a
rebound year for middle market companies when it comes to M&A
activity. The question is, however, what deals will get done?
When looking at the market as a whole, approximately 75 percent of
the dollar volume of M&A deals are $1 billion and below. In addition,
various industry sources estimate that anywhere between 60 to 80 percent of
transactions, in terms of numbers of deals, are "middle market" with
earnings before interest, taxes and depreciation ("EBITDA") of less
than $10 million. Keeping in mind that as deal sizes decrease,
"closing challenges" increase, it is important to understand the
challenges middle market companies face that may not apply to larger companies
and, to that end, how those challenges affect which deals are brought to the
table.
It's a Bifurcated Market
It is fair to say that the recession has
taken its toll on the operations and corresponding profitability of many
companies. As a result, the markets can be bucketed broadly into the 'haves'
and 'have-nots'. For the 'haves', those large and small companies that
have shown little to no real reduction in profitability during the dark days of
the recession and are demonstrating increased earnings, sell side prospects are
good. There is a true "flight to quality" within the markets,
and a desire on the part of buyers to purchase strong assets. Unless a
buyer is focused on restructuring or distressed targets, the emphasis, today,
is on purchasing high-quality companies. This is particularly true for
private equity funds, many of which have spent the majority of the last two
years focused on operational improvement and recapitalizing leveraged balance
sheets under the close scrutiny of their investors. The majority of deals that
were completed in the second half of last year, particularly within the private
equity subsector, fit this high-quality, objective criteria, which is
consistent with the recovery of the M&A market. In addition, quality
deals saw healthy valuation multiples as a result of the significant
availability of capital and limited supply of well-performing companies.
In 2011, the quality theme continues.
Like the economy, the deal market continues
to be in a recovery and transition period where companies are working to shore
up their business models and corresponding operating results. As trailing
twelve month EBITDA trends stabilize or improve, sellers hope to convince
buyers their 2011 forecasts are a lock and they are now one of the companies
that deserve a fully-priced valuation multiple. Despite this resiliency,
selling challenges remain and companies in the market that have not recovered
are receiving lower, sometimes dramatically reduced, valuations than they would
have seen at the apex of the M&A market in 2007. This is particularly true
for the lower end of the middle market where companies valued at $100 million
or below may have found it harder to recover or grow their businesses.
M&A activity in the middle market should, however, increase in the second
half of 2011 and enjoy expanding valuation multiples as companies are able to
gain financial traction and demonstrate improved quality of earnings.
With this return to market, additional supply for the overhang of acquisition
demand will improve.
Diligence, Diligence and more
Diligence
For companies that have not fared well during
the recession and are looking for transactions, the operative terms for buyers
are diligence and patience. Middle market investors and lenders alike
continue to 'peel back the credit onion' and take more time to close their
deals. Areas of concern include: i) "negative synergies" or the
need to reinvest in infrastructure and people in order to generate and sustain
revenue growth, ii) the ability to pass along rising input costs at times when
sales volume still lags behind historic levels and iii) pricing power and
customer">
Credit
Continuing to look at the market from the
perspective of deal size does indicate that, all things being equal, smaller
middle market deals are harder to finance and as a result are less likely to
close than like sized-quality larger transactions. While the general
sentiment is that debt financing has returned to the middle market, credit
appears to be somewhat less abundant when the targets normalized EBITDA is
below $10 million. This unofficial $ 10 million threshold seems to be where
financing flexibility becomes more limited and, in some cases, more expensive.
Today's credit statistics support this point. Credit - or in this
instance, the lack thereof - can affect private equity buyers who are looking
for new platform opportunities and intend to use financial leverage to obtain
them. In some cases, private equity buyers have "over-equitized
deals" writing up to 100% equity checks to fund a purchase with the intent
of recapitalizing their investment later. Buyers with existing bank
lines, large cash war chests, or both, are less affected by these credit
conditions and continue to seek businesses that can be folded into their
existing companies or platforms.
Bright spots in the middle market
M&A landscape
As always, industry sectors come in and out
of favor, and today's market is no exception. For example,
technology-enabled companies, high">
It is important to note that middle market
technology companies are attractive acquisition targets right now for buyers
across a variety of industries. Acquiring a small company for its technology
rather than developing it in-house can be a cost effective and streamlined way
to achieve IT-systems goals. In addition, rust belt industries are
looking at investing in technology laden targets to reinvent their businesses,
develop new competitive advantages, or return to stable profitability through
operating efficiencies. Conversely, many technologically mature buyers
believe that competitive advantages could result in the acquisition of middle
market companies with solid brands or products that could benefit from added
technological component housed on site. Following the buy vs. build
theme, some larger companies are seeking middle market acquisition targets for
product extension, marketplace expansion, or customer acquisition. It is often
more cost effective and provides a more expedient time-to-market to purchase a
company that fulfills these needs rather than assume the execution risk of
developing a new product organically or expanding across geographies.
What's next?
Given the significant amount of capital
raised and the anticipated supply of sellers from both private equity firms and
family owned businesses, we expect to see a somewhat choppy increase in deal
activity for the first half of this year with accelerated volumes during the
second half of 2011 and early 2012. Middle market activity has
traditionally dominated M&A activity by volume and the recovery in this
segment that started in mid-2010 should steadily improve as GDP growth
accelerates. However, the tough environment for middle market companies
-- where quality and deal size can be primary drivers -- is expected to
continue with valuations, both positive and negative, reflecting underlying
corporate and diligence risks.
An Important Upcoming Event:
The 6th Annual Chicago Booth
Distressed Investing and Restructuring Conference
The
6th Annual Chicago Booth Distressed Investing and Restructuring Conference
will be held on April 15th, 2011 at the University Club of Chicago. This year's
conference keynote speakers include Howard Marks, '69, of Oaktree Capital
Management, David Shapiro, '89, of KPS Funds, as well as case studies and
panels covering distressed investing, legal issues, and innovations in
restructuring. Presenters include the Blackstone Group, Rothschild, PIMCO and
Centerbridge Partners.
The primary focus of the conference is to provide a broad overview of the state
of the distressed investing and restructuring industry as well as a networking
opportunity for professionals, students and faculty from around the country.
Click
here to register or learn more.
Until the next issue,
Joe
Joseph DiPietro
Publisher & Sr. Managing Editor
publisher@machicago.com
+1 815 206 0780